Wed, 24.07.2019 14:00, MW2050
Cpt. Mattias Pak (747F)
Vice President Aviation Safety Cargolux Airlines

“Operational Risk Management Issues
between Theory and Real Life”

Some incidents or accidents cannot be quantified from operational data alone because they haven‘t occured in the past. Still, for some events there is a non zero risk that we would like to quanitfy so we can take the necessary precautions for the future.

One such issue is the transport of undeclared dangerous goods, for example hidden lithium batteries. There is an inherent risk with highly flammable material that endangers the crew as well as the whole operation.

How do we tell it is safe to take any such material on board? Can we take the risk? How do we quantify the probabilities?